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la condición matemática más desfavorable en los resultados esperados

English translation: the least favourable mathematical outcome for the expected results


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GLOSSARY ENTRY (DERIVED FROM QUESTION BELOW)
Spanish term or phrase:la condición matemática más desfavorable en los resultados esperados
English translation:the least favourable mathematical outcome for the expected results
Entered by: Lesley Jackson
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19:23 Feb 23, 2011
Spanish to English translations [PRO]
Science - Mathematics & Statistics
Spanish term or phrase: la condición matemática más desfavorable en los resultados esperados
Spain: research paper:

Se recogieron y analizaron cuestionarios válidos de 319 especialistas en psiquiatría y de 957 pacientes depresivos, muestras que permiten una alta precisión en la estimación de resultados (con un error aleatorio de ± 5,5% en la encuesta a psiquiatras, y de ± 3,2% en la encuesta a pacientes, para un intervalo de confianza [IC] del 95%, supuesta una selección aleatoria de los encuestados y la condición matemática más desfavorable en los resultados esperados: p = q = 0,5).

What is the correct turn of phrase for this? (not my field) In Google I'm seeing "favorable/unfavorable result conditions" but can't pin down the entire thing. Thanks!
Lesley Jackson
United States
Local time: 04:19
(assuming) the least favourable situation (that in which p=q=0.5.) for the expected results
Explanation:
Discrimination is weakest where success probability = failure probability = 1/2.

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Note added at 7 hrs (2011-02-24 02:27:26 GMT)
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Also P.88 of
http://books.google.com/books?id=R-8d3xZLXGYC&printsec=front...

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Note added at 23 hrs (2011-02-24 19:20:58 GMT)
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Suppose, just for example, that depression comes in just categories "Mild", Moderate" and "Severe". A sample of 957 patients is taken to estimate the proportion of "Severe" cases in the population - suppose we find 189 "Severe" cases in the sample. That suggests about 20% of the population has severe depression (actually 19.7% = 189/957) . But that was only a sample, so the true value in the population may well be a bit more or less.

The question is "how much more or less?" and the study says ± 3.2%. Or to put it another way, we're 95% sure the true value is in the range [19.7-3.2, 19.7+3.2] = [16.6, 22.9]. This 95% is the "valor de significación".

What p is, is the estimated probability of having severe depression, i.e 0.197. And q is the estimated probability of NOT having severe depression i.e 1-0.197 = 0.803.

Finally, the ± 3.2% has been worked out based on the worst case scenario of p = q = 0.5 (logical if you think about it, it's hardest to discriminate if it's equally likely a person selected has or has not sever depression). So what they are saying is that 3.2 is conservative and, in practise, the range of [16.6, 22.9] can probably be reduced e.g. just to name a figure maybe it's really more like [18.0, 21.5] (still with 19.7 bang in the middle!)

Here endedth the lecture :-)
Selected response from:

DLyons
Ireland
Local time: 09:19
Grading comment
With explanation way beyond the call of duty... thanks!
4 KudoZ points were awarded for this answer



Summary of answers provided
4 +1(assuming) the least favourable situation (that in which p=q=0.5.) for the expected results
DLyons


Discussion entries: 2





  

Answers


7 hrs   confidence: Answerer confidence 4/5Answerer confidence 4/5 peer agreement (net): +1
(assuming) the least favourable situation (that in which p=q=0.5.) for the expected results


Explanation:
Discrimination is weakest where success probability = failure probability = 1/2.

--------------------------------------------------
Note added at 7 hrs (2011-02-24 02:27:26 GMT)
--------------------------------------------------

Also P.88 of
http://books.google.com/books?id=R-8d3xZLXGYC&printsec=front...

--------------------------------------------------
Note added at 23 hrs (2011-02-24 19:20:58 GMT)
--------------------------------------------------

Suppose, just for example, that depression comes in just categories "Mild", Moderate" and "Severe". A sample of 957 patients is taken to estimate the proportion of "Severe" cases in the population - suppose we find 189 "Severe" cases in the sample. That suggests about 20% of the population has severe depression (actually 19.7% = 189/957) . But that was only a sample, so the true value in the population may well be a bit more or less.

The question is "how much more or less?" and the study says ± 3.2%. Or to put it another way, we're 95% sure the true value is in the range [19.7-3.2, 19.7+3.2] = [16.6, 22.9]. This 95% is the "valor de significación".

What p is, is the estimated probability of having severe depression, i.e 0.197. And q is the estimated probability of NOT having severe depression i.e 1-0.197 = 0.803.

Finally, the ± 3.2% has been worked out based on the worst case scenario of p = q = 0.5 (logical if you think about it, it's hardest to discriminate if it's equally likely a person selected has or has not sever depression). So what they are saying is that 3.2 is conservative and, in practise, the range of [16.6, 22.9] can probably be reduced e.g. just to name a figure maybe it's really more like [18.0, 21.5] (still with 19.7 bang in the middle!)

Here endedth the lecture :-)


    Reference: http://www.cazv.cz/2003/JFS8_03/Les%2008_Podlaski.pdf
DLyons
Ireland
Local time: 09:19
Specializes in field
Native speaker of: Native in EnglishEnglish
PRO pts in category: 54
Grading comment
With explanation way beyond the call of duty... thanks!
Notes to answerer
Asker: Thanks, DLyons. This being your specialty field, may I just ask you about the "p" here... is it the "valor de significación" P? or is it for "probability" or something else?

Asker: I mean, I think you said as much in your good explanation... just want to confirm. Thanks.


Peer comments on this answer (and responses from the answerer)
agree  Lafayette Eaton: Good explanation Dlyons, this is a long-winded explanation of the confidence intervals of their sample.
1 hr
  -> Thanks Lafayette.
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