Working languages: Portuguese to English
English (monolingual) |
| Phillippa Bennett
IoL DipTrans MA Cantab
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Local time: 07:10 BRST (GMT-2)
Native in: English  | |
Pleases visit my website: www.pmbtranslations.co.uk | | Freelancer | | Translation, Subtitling, Transcription | | Specializes in: | | Government / Politics | History | | International Org/Dev/Coop | Other | | Social Science, Sociology, Ethics, etc. | Journalism | | Marketing / Market Research |
| Also works in: | | Anthropology | Cinema, Film, TV, Drama | | Media / Multimedia | Business/Commerce (general) | | Medical (general) |
More Less | | Questions answered: 18, Questions asked: 0 Easy / 23 PRO, PRO-level points: 12 | Sample translations submitted: 1| Portuguese to English: Economia reage, mas expectativas pioram - The economy reacts, but expectations are grim. | Source text - Portuguese
Passado o primeiro trimestre de baixo crescimento, a economia brasileira reagiu nos meses seguintes deste ano graças à melhora do mercado de trabalho, à menor inflação (com a conseqüente previsão de afrouxamento da política monetária) e à manutenção de crédito e exportações em alta.
Sob essas condições, especialistas projetam que o PIB tenha crescido de 1% a 1,5% no segundo trimestre na comparação livre de efeitos sazonais com os três primeiros meses deste ano. De janeiro a março, a alta foi de apenas 0,3%, de acordo com o IBGE. O indicador do segundo trimestre será divulgado no final de agosto pelo IBGE.
O motor do crescimento maior, dizem, foi a indústria, cuja produção subiu 1,3% em maio e deve registrar aumento de 1% a 1,8% em junho, de acordo com as estimativas. Restam, porém, duas dúvidas relevantes quanto à sustentação do ritmo de expansão ao longo dos dois últimos trimestres do ano: a extensão da crise política e as expectativas de consumidores e empresários, que se deterioram nos
últimos meses.
Para Estêvão Kopschitz, economista do Ipea (Instituto de Pesquisa Económica Aplicada, órgão do Ministério do Planejamento), "há claramente um movimento de maior crescimento, de aceleração," no segundo trimestre. Foi puxado, segundo ele,
O pelo crédito (na modalidade para pessoas físicas, aumentou 21% no semestre), com impacto na produção de bens duráveis.
Também contribuíram para o desempenho da economia no período as exportações e a recuperação da extração de petróleo, que voltou a crescer depois de um 2004 de queda. O Ipea prevê um avanço do PIB. de 2,8% no semestre, impulsionado pelo crescimento da indústria.
Guilherme Maia, da Tendências Consultoria, também relacionou a melhora do crédito e das exportações à aceleração económica: "O setor externo continuou puxando bem o crescimento e o crédito assegurou um desempenho muito bom da indústria".
Se o segundo trimestre foi de aceleração, o mesmo caminho, porém, pode não ser trilhado nos dois últimos trimestres deste ano. Um dos indicativos de que a expansão da economia tende a ser abrandada daqui para a frente é a piora nas expectativas, tanto as do consumidor como as dos empresários.
Dados da FGV (Fundação Getúlio Vargas) revelam que aumentou de 5% em julhonde 2004 para 17% em julho deste ano o número de industriais que acreditam em piora nos seus negócios nos próximos seis meses. A confiança do consumidor também se deteriorou: o total de pessoas que avaliam a situação econômica do país como pior passou de 33,4% para 37,3%.
Com a previsão de desaceleração nos seis meses finais do ano, as consultorias e institutos estimam que o PIB deste ano crescerá de 2,8% a 3,5%. Em 2004, o resultado foi melhor: o PIB subiu 4,9%.
| Translation - English
In the months following the first quarter of low growth, the Brazilian economy reacted due to improvements in the job market, low inflation (the result of which was the forecast of a relaxation in monetary policy) and the maintenance of credit and high levels of exports.
With these conditions in mind, specialists are predicting a rise from 1% to 1.5% in GDP for the second quarter based on a comparison of the seasonal effects with the first three months of this year. According to the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) there was a high of just 0.3%. The indicator for the second quarter will be published by the IBGE at the end of August.
It is said that the driving force behind the growth was the industry sector, whose output rose by 1.3% in May and, according to predictions, is expected to register a rise from 1% to 1.8% in June. However, two important concerns related to the sustainability of the pattern of expansion over the last two quarters of the year remain: the prolongation of the political crisis and consumer and commercial expectations, which have deteriorated over the last few months.
According to Estêvão Kopschitz, an economist at Ipea (Institute of Applied Economic Research, a body of the Ministry of Planning), “One can most definitely see a pattern of increased growth, of acceleration” in the second quarter. In his opinion this was stimulated by the loans (the amount loaned to individuals rose by 21% in the quarter), which had an impact upon the production of durable goods.
Exports and the recovery in the oil extraction industry, which began to grow once again following the decline registered throughout 2004, both contributed to the economy’s performance. Ipea forecasts an advance of 2.8% in the GDP for the quarter, propelled by the growth of the industry.
Guilherme Maia, from Tendências Consultaria, also linked the availability of loans and exports to an acceleration in the economy: “The external sector continued to stimulate growth, and loans ensured that the industry performed very well”.
If the second quarter was one of accelerated growth, the same pattern may, however, not be seen in the last two quarters of the year. One of the indications that the expansion of the economy will slacken from now onwards is the deterioration in expectations, of consumers and businessmen alike.
Data from the FGV (Getúlio Vargas Foundation) shows that the number of industry sectors which think that trading will decline in the next six months increased from 5% in July 2004 to 17% in July of this year. Consumer confidence also deteriorated: the total number of people who see the country’s economic situation as worse rose from 33.4% to 37.3%.
Following the forecast of deceleration in the last half of the year, consultancy firms and institutes predict that the GDP this year will grow from 2.8% to 3.5%. The result in 2004 was better: the GDP increased by 4.9%.
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More Less | | MA-University of Cambridge (MA Cantab) | | Years of translation experience: 2. Registered at ProZ.com: Jul 2006. | | N/A | Portuguese to English (Chartered Institute of Linguists)
| | N/A | | Adobe Photoshop, Microsoft Excel, Microsoft Word, Powerpoint, Wordfast | | http://www.pmbtranslations.co.uk | | CV will be submitted upon request | | Phillippa Bennett endorses ProZ.com's Professional Guidelines. | | About me
A dynamic and accurate linguist with a meticulous eye for detail.
Qualifications:
Institute of Linguists: Diploma in Translation - Portuguese (Jan 2009)
Technology - MERIT
Social Sciences - MERIT
BA (MA 2008) Portuguese and French from the University of Cambridge, UK
Fully qualified as a Teacher of English as a foreign language (CELTA Jan 2007).
Areas of Interest:
Particularly interested in projects related to International Development, Human Rights, Social Sciences, History, Government and Politics
Rates are negotiable according to project size and deadline.
CV available upon request.
http://www.pmbtranslations.co.uk
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